Saturday, March 14, 2009

Economy poised for recovery this year

The Bank of Canada announced Another 50 bps trimmed off the policy rate and talk about adding quantitative easing to the mix.

The economy sagged in the fourth quarter and first-quarter reports point to a larger contraction in early 2009.

I tend to agree with the expert financial institutions that current interest rates are low and fiscal stimulus is in the pipeline, setting up for a recovery later this year.

Read more about:Homes for Sale

Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

Homes for Sale

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Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Other banks around the world are following the Bank of Canada

this is an interesting report from RBC about the Bank of England reducing their prime rate by .5%
thanks
Mark

Highlights

Canada's economy crumbled in

late 2008, with real GDP contracting

at the fastest pace in 17 years.

The slumping labour market and

housing slowdown point to the

economy continuing to contract in

the first half of 2009.

The Bank cut the policy rate

again in early March and said it is

considering implementing quantitative

or credit easing to ensure

that monetary policy stimulus is

adequate.

The Bank of England (BoE) and

ECB also trimmed their policy rates

and the BoE launched a quantitative

easing program.

BoE cuts rates; announces quantitative easing plan

The BoE cut the policy rate by 50 basis points in early March to 0.5% and announced that it would purchase financial assets financed by the issuance of reserves. The details of the plan showed the BoE intends to buy both corporate debt and government bonds, with the majority of assets purchased being medium and long-term Treasury debt.

Recessionary conditions, globally and in the U.K., were deemed to threaten an undershooting of the 2% medium-term inflation target necessitating the aggressive policy actions.

In the Eurozone, the ECB cut its policy rate by 50 basis points to 1.5%, the lowest in its 10- year history. While there was no overt talk of quantitative easing, ECB President Trichet did not rule out using new "non-standard measures" as forecasts for growth and inflation were cut back.

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Wednesday, December 03, 2008

REMAX reports that threat of world wide recession will put downward pressure on Canadian home sales

This is a report just issued by REMAX Ontario Atlantic regarding our marketplace and the future of real estate in the year 2009.

They feel the the economic environment for 2009 will be challenging for sellers. We are already seeing this in the Mississauga and GTA

All the best!
Mark


Threat of global recession to hinder home sales in major Canadian housing markets in 2008 and 2009, says RE/MAX
Recovery linked to economic stability next year


Mississauga, ON (December 3, 2008) Global economic uncertainty weighed heavily on residential real estate activity in most major Canadian centres during the latter half of 2008.
Although the forecast for 2009 promises more of the same, most markets are expected to weather the storm, says RE/MAX.


The RE/MAX Housing Market Outlook for 2009 examined residential real estate trends in 22 markets across the country and found that average price held up remarkably well in 2008, despite 13 centres reporting double digit declines in home sales. Solid gains earlier in the year likely served to prop up housing values at year end. The prognosis for housing activity in the first six to nine months of 2009 is somewhat static, given continued volatility in financial markets and the threat of recession, but as stability returns to the financial sector, housing markets are expected to recover.

Nationally, 440,000 homes are expected to change hands in 2008, down 15 per cent from record 2007 levels. Canadian housing values are expected to hover at $300,000, a nominal three per cent decline from last year’s historic peak. By year end 2009, unit sales should match 2008 levels, while average price is forecast to fall another two per cent to $293,000.
“Housing market performance will clearly be contingent on economic performance at a local, provincial, and national level in 2009,” says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President and Regional Director, RE/MAX Ontario Atlantic Canada. “Issues affecting the overall economy are impacting housing markets across the country and the situation is not expected to be remedied until consumer confidence is restored. That said, we could see a bounce back as early as spring


– if inventory levels remain stable, pent up demand kicks into gear, and lower interest rates stimulate home buying activity.”


Major markets are evenly split in terms of housing performance in 2009, with 11 centres forecast to match or exceed 2008 home sales and 11 expected to slide from 2008 levels. The highest percentage increase in unit sales is anticipated in Saskatoon, where the number of homes sold is forecast to climb three per cent in 2009. Housing values are expected to hold the line in 2009, with St. John’s, Montreal, Kingston, London, Winnipeg, Saskatoon, and Regina posting modest gains in average price in 2009.

“Canada’s real estate environment is considerably more complex than it has been in recent years,” says Elton Ash, Regional Executive Vice President, RE/MAX of Western Canada. “The landscape is definitely changing with most markets shifting into either balanced or buyer’s territory. The shut out is over. Sellers no longer rule the roost. Opportunities exist for purchasers like never before, including lower interest rates, greater inventory levels, the luxury of time to make decisions, and the upper hand at the negotiating table. Motivated vendors will need to take note of the new mindset and set their prices accordingly.”

Canadian sellers are slowly adjusting to new realities. For most markets, 2008 started in balanced territory and moved into buyer’s market conditions during the latter half of 2008. The year ahead will prove challenging, especially for vendors.

“While the economy will dictate real estate performance next year, it’s important to remember that demand still exists in the marketplace,” says Sylvain Dansereau, Executive Vice President, RE/MAX Quebec. “In the midst of stock market turmoil, sold signs continue to appear on lawns across the country. With affordable lending rates and increased selection, first time and move up buyers with good credit may choose to play their investment strategy safe and purchase a home.

The comfort of a tangible investment like real estate goes a long way in tough times.” RE/MAX is Canada's leading real estate organization with over 18,000 sales associates situated throughout its more than 670 independently owned and operated offices across the country.

Read more about:Homes for Sale

Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

Homes for Sale

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Monday, October 27, 2008

fourth set of blogger labels

Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1

BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

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Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Canada Optimistic Housing Market Conditions

This is what RE/MAX is saying about our current marketplace in Canada
Nice to see some positive and optimistic news on the housing front here in Canada!
Enjoy!
Mark

RE/MAX Ontario Atlantic Canada Inc.

There’s been a lot of talk about real estate in the news in recent months. We’ve heard about declining housing starts, falling existing home sales, double-digit price depreciation, subprime fallout and foreclosures – in the United States. Fortunately, we live in Canada. And Canadian real estate markets are far-better positioned than their American counterparts for a good number of reasons.

  1. Subprime mortgages represent less than five per cent of our market nationally.
  2. Foreclosures occur in about one quarter of one per cent of mortgage transactions in this country.
  3. Canadians have more equity in their homes.
  4. We have less debt than our neighbours south of the border.
  5. Speculation has played little or no role in existing home sales in Ontario.
  6. The fundamentals of our economy are relatively solid. Of the G8 countries, only Canada is expected to show growth in 2008 and 2009.
  7. The Canadian banking system is one of the best in the world, relying more on old-fashioned lending than innovative financial products geared toward profit.
  8. The Canadian job market is stronger than the US, adding more than 200,000 jobs so far this year.
  9. Interest rates remain favourable.
  10. Housing values in Ontario major centres did not experience serious, double-digit price appreciation year-after-year for an extended period. Our markets were characterized by stable, healthy growth.
  11. Immigration continues to play a key role in housing markets. Between 2001 and 2006, more than 1.1 million immigrants came to this country, with about half settling in the province of Ontario. Immigrants tend to purchase a home within the first five years of living in Canada.

Real estate is cyclical. There will be peaks and valleys. The more restrained the peak, the more modest the valley.

There is no question that market conditions have moderated from 2007’s record pace. More listings, softer housing values, longer days on market – but most centres are relatively solid. While some buyers and sellers will adopt a wait-and-see attitude, there are those that will continue to venture forward.

They’ll need the services of a knowledgeable, experienced real estate professional to navigate the storm. They will look to you for information in today’s complex real estate environment. Understanding market conditions will be of paramount importance to today’s buyers and sellers, especially as conditions change in markets across the country.

That said, sellers will need to be realistic in setting a selling price. Listing a property at fair-market value will ensure that it will sell in a reasonable amount of time. This is not the time to test the market. Those that are truly interested in selling their properties know that over-priced homes risk stagnation. Buyers in today’s market will need to be careful not to overextend themselves. They should know exactly what they can afford. Pre-approval for a mortgage loan is ideal because it lets buyers know exactly how much they can spend on their new home.

Once educated, your clients will come to rely on your expertise. Make sure your follow-up skills are honed and your customer service is par excellence.

Looking forward, we anticipate a continuation of stable market activity, minus the urgency present in past. Gone are the multiple offers that left both buyers and sellers dissatisfied. The increase in the number of homes listed for sale are a definite advantage for purchasers who now have the luxury of time in making one of the most important decisions of a lifetime. For sellers, the time to trade-up has never been better.

Canadians are great believers in homeownership – a fact underscored by the close to 70 per cent who own homes in this country. History has proven time and time again that real estate is a solid, long-term investment that appreciates at a rate of about five per cent annually. You can’t live in your mutual fund, and after the last month in the financial markets, quite frankly, we’re not sure you’d want to.

New market realities may impact your business in the months ahead. That’s when the RE/MAX Brand and toolbox come into play. There are a wide variety of products and services that will give you an edge in today’s marketplace and a definite advantage when it comes to the competition. Ensuring you incorporate both a buyers and sellers presentation into your marketing materials is a great first step and samples of both can be found at http://www.bestagent.ca/. Rather than focus on what you see or hear in the news, consider opportunities as they present themselves. You are, after all, in control of your destiny.

Sincerely,

Michael Polzler
Executive Vice President and Regional Director
RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada Inc.

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Friday, September 26, 2008

Shorter Amortization on Canadian mortgages is better in the long run

You may have heard that CMHC has lowered their maximum amortization on a mortgage to 35 years from 40 years. As well, there is no longer a no-money down-payment option, you must have minimum 5% cash to buy a property.

I like these changes, for one, it reduces the possibility of a real estate meltdown as is currently happening in the US.

Government changes mortgage rules for CMHC

The federal government here in Canada is attempting to avoid the kind of sub-prime mortgage meltdown plaguing the United States. Effective October 15, 2008, the 40-year mortgages with no money down will no longer be covered through the federal government insurance program administered by Canada Mortgage and Housing (CMHC). Instead of this option, the longest period of amortization for a Canadian mortgage insured by CMHC will be 35 years.

As well, a buyer insured by CMHC will have to make a minimum down payment of five per cent of the home's value. This will be grandfathered, as Canadians already holding 40-year no-money-down mortgages won't be affected by the changes.

The regulations will apply to such federal agencies as CMHC, (the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp)., which has an estimated 60 per cent share of the mortgage insurance market. However, private-sector mortgage insurance rivals such as Genworth Financial, PMI Mortgage Insurance Co. Canada and AIG United Guaranty are free to offer the product.

One difference is that the federal government will no longer provide insurance that protects lenders in the event of a default by the insurers.

Existing 40-year mortgages will be grandfathered, a Finance Department spokesman said. In 2006, the maximum amortization period was extended to 40 years from 25, and longer-term mortgage products have become increasingly popular with buyers looking for lower monthly payments as the price of Canadian homes soared.

Today's announcement marks a responsible and measured approach by the government to ensure Canada's housing market remains strong, and to reduce the risk of a U.S.-style housing bubble developing in Canada," the Finance Department said in a statement.

In 2007, 37 per cent of new mortgages were for terms of longer than 25 years, according to the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals (CAAMP). But while longer amortizations stretch out monthly payments, they also greatly increase the cost of a mortgage over its lifetime. For example, the total interest on a $300,000 mortgage can soar from $286,161 over the life of a 25-year mortgage to $498,416 over a 40-year amortization period – adding more than $200,000 to the cost of the home.

According to analysts, the Canadian housing market would have slowed sooner if longer- term amortizations had not been introduced. The longer amortizations mean much greater interest costs over the life of the mortgage, but smaller monthly payments, which allows buyers to bid on a more expensive home than they otherwise could afford.

Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney said in May he was concerned about the prevalence of long amortizations. "They add to the momentum in the housing market, and if everyone has a 40- year amortization mortgage, then you just have higher housing prices."

This, combined with the fact that these mortgages are often combined with little or no equity, raised alarm bells with policy makers looking at the turmoil that took place in the U.S. when house prices started to fall.

"We've seen an inclination now, a trend, toward longer-term amortizations and smaller down payments, and that is a matter of some concern," Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said in a speech in May. Mr. Flaherty was not available for comment Wednesday.

Jim Murphy, president and chief executive of CAAMP, said in talks with him the government expressed concern about the risky lending products that collapsed the U.S. housing market. The Finance Department was also worried about the future impact of competition between mortgage insurers, which led to the introduction of 40-year mortgage in 2006, Mr. Murphy said.

"I think you have a clear case of the government sitting down and looking at its risk exposure and wanting to review that. They have financial guarantees in place for the CMHC and private insurers, and they were saying, 'What is our risk, and what is the risk to the Canadian taxpayer?' " he said.

Others, however, say home buyers and banks have been prudent with their finances, and are being punished for the more lax approach south of the border. "Things here are not like they are in the U.S. where they had those NINJA loans, no income, no job, no assets. … It's only going to hurt the consumer," said John Panagakos, owner of Toronto brokerage Mortgage Centre.

Reaction from the industry was mixed. "CMHC supports the new parameters … . We also support their efforts to maintain the strong Canadian housing market," said spokesperson Stephanie Rubec, adding CMHC will stop insuring 40-year and zero down payment mortgages in October.

"It's the right move," said Nick Kyprianou, president of Home Capital Group Inc., whose principal subsidiary, Home Trust Co., provides alternative mortgages. "Why get people overextended? Nobody wins by getting people right to the end of the cliff."

The move actually comes at a time when the housing market has moved on to other concerns, the most pressing of which is chilling consumer sentiment due to high fuel prices, said Douglas Porter, deputy chief economist at BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc.

This was issued by CREA 10/07/2008

You may read more about this at my site, www.mississauga4sale.com

Thanks

Mark

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Thursday, July 10, 2008

RBC reports that markets have changed across country

Tide turns in 2008

Last year, major markets delivered a sixth consecutive year of 10% house price gains, sales-to-listings ratios held firmly in seller’s

territory, and housing starts held above 220,000 units for a fourth year running as excess demand in the resale market spilled over into

the new home market. But, housing markets are now on a clear cooling path.

Calgary and Edmonton have moved from chart-toppers to bottom-of-the heap in only a matter of months on a range of key housing

market indicators, including house prices and sales.

Regina and Saskatoon continue to clock year-over-year price gains that are several multiples above the pace of their local wage

growth. This lends evidence that current momentum is unsustainable,. with a similar fate to Alberta’s likely for both of these cities in a

year’s time.

Many of the middle-of-the-pack markets — like Toronto, Ottawa and Montreal — are maintaining their slow and steady cruising

speed. House prices across much of central and eastern Canada are growing between 5% and 10% year-over-year.

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS Newsletter
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

(
BUS 905-828-3434
2
FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
E-MAIL
: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

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Thursday, May 15, 2008

CMHC predicting Terms of trade advantage to help Canada outperform the U.S. economy

Terms of trade advantage to help Canada outperform the U.S. economy

Canada's economy will slow but will slightly outperform the U.S. economy, with support coming from high prices for Canadian natural resource exports.

Domestic demand will slow modestly due to credit tightening.

Canada's trade sector will act as a significant drag on Canada's economy this year and next.

The core inflation rate is expected to remain below 2% this year, with the all-items CPI likely to drop to 1% mid-year.

We are calling for the Bank of Canada to lower the overnight rate to 2.75% to mitigate downside risks to the growth outlook coming from a weakening U.S. economy, tight credit conditions and a strong Canadian dollar.

Read more about:Homes for Sale

Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

Homes for Sale

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Monday, February 18, 2008

Mortgage Interest Rates 2008 Forecast and last year summary

Mortgage Interest Rates 2008 Forecast and last year summary


Mortgage rates increased by about 100 basis points between the start and the end of 2007. The sub-prime mortgage loan crisis in the U.S. has continued to rock financial markets resulting in liquidity issues which have increased the costs of funding mortgages.

Equity and financial markets have experienced additional upheaval as many analysts and investors speculate on the possibility of the U.S. slipping into a recession. The ensuing flight to quality in financial markets has resulted in lower yields on government bonds, but has not had a large impact on posted mortgage rates.

The potential drag on Canadian GDP growth due to a potential U.S. economic slowdown, coupled with the tightening on Canadian credit conditions, and the high value of the Canadian dollar will cause minor fluctuations in mortgage rates through 2008.

Mortgage rates are expected to remain within 25-75 basis points of their current levels in 2008 and then stabilize throughout 2009.

The one year posted mortgage rate is forecast to be in the 6.75-7.50 per cent range, while three and five year posted mortgage rates are forecast to be in the 7.00-7.75 per cent range in 2008.
Source: CMHC 2008 Canadian Housing Observer First Quarter


Friendly Ponds
Building a network is not just about business. New acquaintances can often become friends for life, even though you initially connected because of a business association. The best way to build a network of depth, breadth and reach comes from Dale Carnegie: "You can make more friends in two months by becoming interested in other people than you can in two years by trying to get other people interested in you." So, how many new friends did you make this year?
Source: Darcy Rezac's Tip of the Week at workthepond.com

Did you know that in 2005, 1.1 million households in Canada owned second homes, vacation homes or cottages? This represents a growth of approximately 200,000 households since 1999. Baby boomers were responsible for much of the increase; households with maintainers aged 45 to 64 accounted for almost three quarters of the total increase in households owning secondary homes. Source: 2008 Canadian Housing Observer

Knowing your Markets
One of the more difficult challenges in growing your business is knowing where your next sale is coming from. That is why it is very important to have an in-depth understanding of the resale market in which you work. The following summary table provides you with a quick overview of resale activity in Canada's largest markets

(you can also visit http://www.cmhc.ca/en/inpr/homain/index.cfm for more information):


MLS® Statistics for Select Canadian Markets

Sales

Average Price

2006

2007

up/dwn

2006

2007

up/dwn

Calgary

33,027

32,176

-2.6%

$348,004

$413,139

18.7%

Edmonton

21,984

20,427

-7.1%

$251,169

$337,428

34.3%

Vancouver

36,479

38,978

6.9%

$509,802

$568,588

11.5%

Ottawa-Crltn

14,003

14,739

5.3%

$256,447

$272,395

6.2%

Toronto

84,842

95,164

12.2%

$350,616

$376,873

7.5%

Montréal

50,106

56,151

12.1%

$216,100

$230,147

6.5%

Halifax

6,462

7,261

12.4%

$202,565

$215,055

6.2%

Source: Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), CMHC



Current Mortgage Interest Rates

Read more about:Homes for Sale

Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
›mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

Homes for Sale

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Monday, January 28, 2008

Outlook for Housing Starts Continues to Look good!

The outlook for the housing market continues to be very upbeat for the near term.

Housing Starts:
2007: 227,500
2008: 214,300
Resales:

2007: 521,100
2008: 500,800

Housing starts will remain above the 200,000 unit threshold for a seventh consecutive year in 2008, a feat last accomplished in the 1971-1978 period.

Over the long term it is expected that residential construction will gradually decline as factors that drive housing become less stimulative reaching approximately 198,425 units by 2011. Despite this downward movement, the level of activity will remain well above the average annual level of about 150,000 housing starts observed during the 1990s.

The outlook for Canadian GDP growth remains positive over the medium term. The economy will continue to operate close to its capacity and expand at about 3 per cent from 2008 to 2011.

Employment growth is expected to be constrained over this time frame since a record number of Canadians are presently employed. Employment growth will average 1.3 per cent annually over the 2008 to 2011 period. At this pace, the unemployment rate is expected to creep up toward 6.5 per cent range by 2011.

Inflation will remain modest at about 2 per cent per year over the medium term. As a result, both short and long term interest rates will be fairly stable going forward. Longer term mortgage rates, such as the 5 year fixed rate, will stay low and should increase by 50 to 75 basis points between 2008 and 2011.

Population growth is a key driver of housing demand over the longer term and a major contributor to population growth is immigration. More than 216,000 immigrants arrived in Canada in 2006. Looking ahead, continuing tight labour market conditions will provide an attractive environment that will continue to draw large numbers of immigrants to Canada. As a result, net migration is forecast to rise steadily through 2011.

This rise will boost population growth and household formation, which in turn will support strong levels of housing starts through 2011.


Ontario, Quebec and British Columbia will continue to attract most of the new immigrants settling in Canada.
Source: CMHC Housing Market Outlook Canada Edition 4Q2007


Search the MLS or read more about Interest Rates, Power of Sale Properties, Price Trends and more at my website. Homes for Sale

Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
2
FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
›
E-MAIL : mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com




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Thursday, January 24, 2008

Comments on Canada's Economy from RBC

The Canadian economy still robust

Canada's economy grew at a 2.9% annual rate in the third quarter, only moderately slower than the 3.8% second-quarter pace and first-quarter 3.5% increase. The strength in the third quarter came from the domestic economy, which has been the mainstay of Canada's economic growth during the past several years.

Job growth beat expectations once again in November, with 42,600 jobs created, trouncing forecasts for an 8,000 job gain. The job market has generated 388,200 new jobs so far this year and the pace of wage gains has accelerated strongly from the tepid 2.3% average increase in the first quarter to the 4.2% average pace in October-November.

Retail sales fell 0.2% in September for the third time in the past four months,largely driven by a 1.3% drop in sales by new car dealers. The decline in real retailsales and the only modest increase in manufacturing shipments in September pointto moderating GDP growth in the month.

Housing starts were essentially unchanged in November, coming in at a 227,900 annualized pace compared to 227,600 in October. The average level of housing starts activity year-to-date has been the highest since 2004. Our forecast assumes that starts will trend lower, eventually averaging a little above 200,000 in 2008.

The merchandise trade surplus widened to $3.3 billion in October as exports inched lower by 0.5% and imports dropped 2%. After shaving 4.8 percentage points from third-quarter economic growth, drag from the trade sector and slower domestic demand will slow GDP growth again in the fourth quarter.

Canada's core inflation rate moved to its lowest level since April 2006 in November, and held below the 2% target for the second month running. The all-items inflation rate will likely remain above the Bank of Canada's 2% target in the near-term, but continued discounting by Canadian retailers will keep the core rate below the 2% target.

Search the MLS or read more about Interest Rates, Power of Sale Properties, Price Trends and more at my website. Homes for Sale

Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
2
FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
›
E-MAIL : mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com


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Friday, January 18, 2008

RBC reporting Canadian Economy still expanding, but the pace likely to slow


RBC is reporting that the Canadian Economy still expanding, but the pace likely to slow


The economy grew at a 0.2% pace in October and at a 1.4% annualized pace compared to the 2.9% average of the third quarter, setting up for a more moderate quarter for growth following nine months of robust expansion.


Despite the slowdown in job growth in December, Canada's job market pumped out 370,000 new jobs in 2007 and the unemployment rate finished the year near its lowest level in 33 years. The 2007 job increase pushed the number of job created since 2002 above two-million and 82% of those jobs were full-time positions.


Retail activity started the fourth quarter on a firm note, rising 0.1% in October, stronger than market forecasts for a 0.4% decline. The strong labour market and firm wage growth will likely support retail activity as the fourth quarter progresses.


Housing starts slowed to a 187,500 seasonally adjusted annual rate in December from an upwardly revised 233,300 pace in November. Starts were 229,600 in 2007, a 1% gain over 2006. The housing market may cool a bit in 2008 we forecast starts of 210,000 units in the year.


The merchandise trade surplus was larger than expected in November, rising to $3.7 billion. But, with a strong Canadian dollar boosting imports and a sharply slower U.S. economy dampening demand for Canadian exports, we expect the drag coming from the trade sector to be even greater in 2008 than in 2007 and that the economy will grow at a more modest 2.1%.


Canada's core inflation rate moved to its lowest level since April 2006 in November, and held below the 2% target for the second month running. The all-items inflation rate will likely remain above the Bank of Canada's 2% target in the near-term, but continued discounting by Canadian retailers will keep the core rate below the 2% target.



Search the MLS or read more about Interest Rates, Power of Sale Properties, Price Trends and more at my website. Homes for Sale


Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,


Mark


A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
2
FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
›
E-MAIL : mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com


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Saturday, January 12, 2008

Real Estate Market Update from New Home Building Permit Perspective

Building Permits: From Boom to Gloom?

We don't normally write about a drop in Canadian building permits, even one like the 9.9% setback in November. However, given the suddenly heightened sensitivity over every twitch in the economy, today's decline is worth looking at, especially given the fact that it follows hard on the heels of a 19.6% drop in December housing starts and last week's 12.8 point plunge in the Ivey PMI for the same month. Is this trio of steep sags in admittedly third-tier economic indicators an ominous warning for the Canadian economy? In two words…probably not. While there is plenty to be concerned about on the outlook primarily the softening U.S. economy this sudden run of weak data in very volatile series is likely noise.

Putting it in perspective, building permits in the first 11 months of 2007 were up a hefty 12.4% from year-ago levels even with the November decline. And, keep in mind that the drop in November followed a 7.3% pop in the prior month. The latest setback was concentrated in the non-residential sector, which had been particularly frothy earlier last year (up 15.5% so far in 2007). Residential permits were also off 5% m/m, but were up by a surprisingly sprightly 10.5% year-to-date. (Contrast that with the 25% y/y plunge in U.S. building permits in the same period.)

Most provinces saw declines in November, led by Alberta (-13.8%) and B.C. (-20.0%). However, the top of last year's leaderboard was still crowded with western provinces. Permits in Saskatchewan were up 33.9% last year, with Alberta (15.2%) next in line. Notably, Ontario was in third spot, thanks to a strong 26% rise in non-residential activity.

In a separate release, new home prices were a touch firmer than expected in November, rising 0.5% m/m. This held the annual trend steady at 6.1%. In a sign of just how far-flung home price pressures are in Canada, the two biggest monthly increases were posted in Halifax and Quebec City. In contrast, new prices dipped again in Calgary, where annual price increases of 5% are now below the national average.


The Bottom Line: The Canadian building industry appears to be in the first stages of losing some momentum after a blow-out year in 2007. That's still a far cry from the deepening housing descent in clear view south of the border. In fact, given widespread talk of labour shortages in the Canadian industry, some cooling in the sector in 2008 may not be such a bad thing.

Search the MLS or read more about Interest Rates, Power of Sale Properties, Price Trends and more at my website. Homes for Sale

Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
( BUS 905-828-3434
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FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
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E-MAIL : mark@mississauga4sale.com
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Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Canadian Housing Starts still high -- November 2007


Canadian Housing Starts Steady


New housing construction showed no signs of letting up in November. Housing starts, at an annualized rate of 227,900, were virtually unchanged from October and roughly in line with both market expectations and the pace in the last 12 months. Activity on the single-detached side bounced to its strongest level since March 2006, more than retracing some softness in October. The multi-units side continued to digest a 29-year-high spike in September and fell for the second straight month.


On a provincial basis, activity cooled in six provinces in November with the biggest declines in Quebec, Nova Scotia and Manitoba. Hefty gains in Ontario and B.C., however, heated things just enough to keep the overall temperature steady. In recent months, momentum has shifted from Alberta to B.C. as Western Canada's housing construction hotspot. In Central Canada, Ontario has regained leadership (notwithstanding a multi-unit surge in September), while Newfoundland & Labrador is the key engine in Atlantic Canada.


The Bottom Line: Despite earlier concerns about the potential impact of the financial market storm on Canadian housing demand, home building remains a pillar of strength in the Canadian economy. With strong job creation and favourable interest rates still providing support, residential construction is carrying good momentum into 2008.


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Search the MLS or read more about Interest Rates, Power of Sale Properties, Price Trends and more at my website. Homes for Sale


Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,


Mark



A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
2
FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
›
E-MAIL : mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com



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