hu Mississauga Real Estate, Homes, TREB & MLS Blog by Mark Argentino

Thursday, July 17, 2008

RBC thinks that the US Federal Reserve to keep rates low in first half of 2009

RBC thinks that the US Federal Reserve to keep rates low in first half of 2009 and initiate process to return to neutral in the second half

Our forecast calls for the U.S. economy to grow at a lacklustre rate in the first quarter of 2009, gain some traction about mid-year as financial market volatility eases and the cost of capital moderates and then expand at a sub-potential pace for several quarters, meaning that the U.S. output gap will widen and relieve some of the upward pressure on prices.

However, core inflation is likely to remain at about 2% next year. With the economy reaccelerating and the financial system mending, the Fed will begin to remove some monetary stimulus. We expect the Fed funds rate to rise to 2.5% by the end of 2009, with the first increase likely to come in the summer. We believe that the yield on the two-year bond will end 2009 at 3.25%, considerably lower than our previous forecast of 4.15%, with the 10-year rate forecast at 4.75% (from 5.1% previously).

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Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
›mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

Homes for Sale

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Tuesday, July 15, 2008

Canadian Banks Divided Over Mortgage Broker Strategy

Good morning,

Canadian Banks Divided Over Mortgage Broker Strategy

By Monica Gutschi Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
TORONTO (Dow Jones)--Frank Techar shrugs off news that Bank of Montreal (BMO) has lost significant market share in domestic mortgages.

The head of BMO's Canadian banking unit was well prepared for that to occur when he made the decision last year to stop selling the bank's mortgages through mortgage brokers.

A growing number of Canadians are using brokers to shop around for their mortgages. According to the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals, 34% of first-time homebuyers worked with a broker last year, up from 25% in 2005. Even experienced homebuyers are opting for the broker channel - 27%, according to a recent CAAMP survey.

For homebuyers who may not have individual negotiating power or significant real-estate experience, a broker is a valued middle-man, observers say. And Canada's buoyant real estate market, a surge of buyers who are either young, self-employed or new to Canada, and intense competition in mortgages have all spurred their popularity.

But Canadian banks are deeply divided about the use of brokers. Some, like Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM), wholeheartedly embrace the channel, developing specialized products such as home equity lines of credit, to lure new clients.

Others - like BMO - say brokers bring in low-margin mortgages, which can increase market share at the expense of profitability. And they say brokers can impede the bank's goal of fostering a deeper banking relationship in which a homebuyer becomes a valued customer.

"We didn't like the return profile of those assets," Techar said in a recent interview. As well, he noted, "we had a more difficult time building relationships with those customers."

Royal Bank of Canada (RY) also eschews the use of brokers, and Dave McKay, group head of Canadian banking, says that hasn't hurt its mortgage business in the least, noting Royal Bank holds more than C$140 billion worth of mortgages, and its book is growing at 17% annually.

The broker model "just doesn't work for us," McKay said at a recent investor conference. McKay argued that using brokers makes the bank "lose control" of the customer, a consideration that BMO cites as its principal motive for taking its mortgage business back in house.

BMO found it difficult to "cross-sell" other banking products to those customers who had opted for a BMO mortgage because of the broker-negotiated rate, says Lynne Kilpatrick, senior vice-president of personal banking. That's because those customers built a relationship with the broker, not the bank, she notes.

Customers whose connection to the bank is based on a good interest rate tend to be "a bit promiscuous," she says. "When the mortgage comes up, they tend to chase the next best rate."

For a bank struggling to improve its relationship with customers and to build its sagging "share of wallet," that temporary connection was counterproductive. Following its decision to abandon the mortgage channel, BMO increased the number of "mortgage specialists" on staff to 300 from 170 previously. These specialists work with real estate agents and others to bring the homebuyer in to the bank.

Kilpatrick says the specialist is the customer's initial contact with BMO "with a warm handoff to the banker, where they can then have a conversation about other banking needs."

In fact, Kilpatrick says BMO has been successful in replacing the mortgages lost by abandoning the broker channel and has now moved to step two: increasing its share of the growing mortgage market. BMO officials believe they can achieve that goal by the end of next year.

And BMO executives say they're happy with their decision: "We do find our ability to cross-sell products that come through the mortgage specialist is exceptional," Kilpatrick says. "That's the bread and butter of the retail banking business."

Although BMO believes the broker channel has hindered its client relationships, other banks find it gives them access to a whole new group of clients.

"We see a tremendous advantage in attracting customers through brokers," says Rick Lunny, executive vice-president of lending at Canadian Imperial. The broker-sourced mortgage gets the client in the door, and "allows us to build on the relationship."

Since many of the homebuyers who do use brokers are making their first major purchase, they typically haven't done much financial planning, he says. Once they have a CIBC mortgage, the bank can then begin discussing their other financial needs.

CIBC also employs about 500 mortgage specialists, and sells mortgages through the brank branch as well. "The key is that CIBC is committed to a multi-channel approach," he says.

Bank of Nova Scotia is so keen on the broker channel that in 2006 it purchased Maple Trust Co., one of the country's largest alternative lenders. The transaction immediately increased the bank's market share.

In fact, last year 53% of all of the mortgages funded by the bank were originated by brokers associated with either Maple Trust or Scotia Express - the bank's Web site for mortgage brokers.

Maple Trust Chief Executive John Webster believes brokers have a competitive advantage because of the nature of real estate sales in Canada - which typically take place on weekends or after tradition banking hours.

"The person who gets there first gets the business," he says. Moreover, brokers are able to tell a potential homebuyer that they have offers from three or four lenders.

In a recent research note, Desjardins Securities analyst Michael Goldberg said Scotia is able to cross-sell products on broker-originated mortgages at the same level as branch-originated mortgages.

"The key point is that brokered mortgages must be closed in person at a branch, providing the opportunity to get to know the client," Goldberg noted.

Read more about:Homes for Sale

Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
›mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

Homes for Sale

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Monday, July 14, 2008

Ottawa revamps mortgage rules

Hello reader,

The federal government announced yesterday that as of October 15th, 2008, they will no longer be guaranteeing mortgages amortized beyond 35 years, or mortgages with less than 5% down payment. Please read the article below for full details. There are basically three companies currently providing mortgage default insurance in Canada. CMHC, Genworth Financial, and AIG.

This announcement refers to government backed mortgages only, namely CMHC, and will not necessarily affect the other two insurers. This doesn't mean the other two insurers will not follow suit, but it does mean that they are not obligated to. Both Genworth and AIG will be having meetings in the near future to discuss their existing product line and any changes they want to make, if any. There are also some alternative lenders who are self insuring and are currently offering 40 year, 100% financing products, so even if all three mortgage insurers drop these products, they still may be available beyond October 15th, although, at a higher rate.

In the meantime, everything will remain the same and 40 year, 100% financing products will still be available until mid-October.


Today's lowest rate on a five year fixed is 5.45% and the lowest variable rate is 4.15% or 0.60 below prime (although there are teaser rates available as low as 2.51% below prime)

Ottawa revamps mortgage rules
KEVIN CARMICHAEL
Globe and Mail Update, Reuters
July 9, 2008 at 4:36 PM EDT
OTTAWA — The federal government says it will no longer guarantee 40-year mortgages, one of a handful of measures aimed at guarding against a U.S.-style housing bubble.
The Finance Department said Wednesday in a news release that the government will guarantee no mortgages with durations longer than 35 years. The government also will demand a minimum down payment equal to 5 per cent of the value of the home.
"Today's announcement marks a responsible and measured approach by the government to ensure Canada's housing market remains strong and to reduce the risk of a U.S.-style housing bubble developing in Canada," the Finance Department said.
The government hastened to emphasize that Canada's housing and mortgage markets were performing much better than in the United States.
Canadian housing prices are in line with economic factors such as low interest rates, rising incomes and a growing population and the demand for residential housing remains buoyant at more than 200,000 housing starts a year, it said.
The percentage of bank mortgages in arrears is also stable at 0.27 per cent, the lowest levels experienced since 1990 and well below the highs of 0.65 per cent in 1992 and 1997.
"The historically prudent and cautious approach taken by Canadian financial institutions to mortgage lending, combined with a sound supervisory regime, has allowed Canada to maintain strong and secure housing and mortgage markets," it said.
It nonetheless noted "accelerated financial innovation" in the mortgage markets since the fall of 2006, for example, allowing loans up to 100 per cent of the value of the house and increasing amortization periods to 40 years from 25 years.
The government will now require a consistent credit score for mortgages it backs, and a minimum level of loan documentation standards to ensure evidence of the reasonableness of property values and the borrowers' income.
In addition, government guarantees will not be allowed for high-ratio mortgages where amortization is not required in the first few years – e.g., mortgages that begin with interest-only payments.
Finally, it will set a maximum of 45 per cent on a borrower's debt-service ratio – the proportion of gross income that is spent on debt service and housing-related fixed or essential payments.




Mark





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Sunday, July 13, 2008

CMHC mortgages -Important changes announced

The Federal Government announced changes today on government backed mortgages - these changes will directly impact buyers who require 100% financing and the extended 40 year amortization.


Highlights:


  • 40 year amortizations will no longer be allowed (for CMHC insured mortgages);
  • Minimum 5% down payment will be required....(CMHC will no longer be able to insure 100% financing);
  • Stricter documentation requirements:
  • Higher minimum credit bureau score;
  • New changes effective October 15, 2008.

This announcement was made today - so there will likely be more updates and clarifications made in the near future - I'll keep you posted.


Also, these changes are related to government backed mortgages (insured through CMHC). Two other mortgage insurers currently offer 100% financing and 40 year amortizations. At this time, they have not communicated any policy changes.


See the following link for the complete announcement: http://www.fin.gc.ca/news08/08-051e.html.


Also, word on the street....The Bank of Canada is considering a prime rate increase - and no doubt the banks would follow suit...if you need preapproval - this is a good time to secure a rate hold.


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Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,


Mark



A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
›mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com



Homes for Sale

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Tuesday, July 08, 2008

Mortgage interest rates posted and attainable in the GTA

The table below shows mortgage interest rates posted and attainable in the GTA
•"Best" Attainable Rates
• Explore Mortgage Scenarios with Helpful Calculators
at this page
TermsPosted RatesAttainable
Rates
1 YEAR6.95%5.10%
2 YEARS7.00%5.25%
3 YEARS7.00%5.30%
4 YEARS6.99%5.50%
5 YEARS7.15%5.45%
7 YEARS7.60%5.80%
10 YEARS7.95%5.90%
Rates are subject to change without notice. *OAC E&OE
Prime Rate is 4.75%.

Variable rate mortgages from as low as Prime minus 0.65%.

Rates are subject to change without notice. Fixed mortgage rates shown in table above and quoted variable mortgage rates are available nationally to qualified individuals.

Read more about:Homes for Sale

Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

Homes for Sale

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Friday, June 27, 2008

Current Mortgage Interest Rates

The table below shows current posted and the 'best' attainable mortgage interest rates in the GTA
TERMPOSTED OUR RATES*
6 Month 6.2%6.2%
1 Year6.95%4.9%
2 Year7%5.25%
3 Year7%5.19%
4 Year6.99%5.54%
5 Year7.15%5.47%
7 Year7.6%5.8%
10 Year7.95%5.9%
Variable Rate4%
Prime Rate4.75%













Rates Last Updated: Thursday, June 26, 2008

Read more about:Homes for Sale

Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

( BUS 905-828-3434
mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

Homes for Sale

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Friday, June 20, 2008

Bank of Canada rate freeze could boost our mortgage rates

Bank of Canada rate freeze could boost our mortgage rates
Alia McMullen, Financial Post Published: Wednesday, June 11, 2008
Fixed mortgage rates could rise in the coming days as banks adjust to a two-day rally in government bond yields that received extra ammunition on Tuesday when the Bank of Canada kept interest rates unchanged.

But any increases in fixed mortgage rates may be limited by competition for customers in a cooling housing market, particularly as credit market conditions improve.

Eric Lascelles, chief economist and interest rate strategist at TD Securities, said fixed mortgage rates, which tend to track movements in the Canada Government five-year bond yield, could rise if the banks follow historical trends. The CGB five-year yield has surged 12.6% in the past two days to end at 3.6% on Tuesday, signalling the market forecasts future interest rates to be higher than previously expected.

The surge in bond yields, which move inversely to bond prices, began on Monday as the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank talked up inflationary risks. The yields were catapulted even higher Tuesday by the Bank of Canada's surprise decision to keep the benchmark interest rate at 3%. The market had expected the rate to dip to 2.75%, but Mr. Lascelles said the central bank's emphasis on inflation had caused many dealers to now price rate rises into their positions.

"The concern about inflation has grown as commodity prices have again skyrocketed," Mr. Lascelles said. He has now wiped interest rate cuts out of his official forecast, but said they could not be completely ruled out given pressures on the Canadian economy.

"We don't think the Bank of Canada is going to leap wholeheartedly into rate hikes immediately; we think they will be quite cautious on hold for the time

being," he said.
Vince Gaetano, vice-president of Monster Mortgage and winner of Canadian Mortgage Professional magazine's Mortgage Broker of the Year award, said there was still a chance that interest rates will fall one more time in July. However, he said the housing market was not in any need of further interest rate cuts to support activity.

While the bond market shifts interest-rate expectations higher, Mr. Gaetano said there is still room for fixed mortgage rates to ease. Variable rate mortgages generally move in tandem with the Bank of Canada's key interest rate, and therefore would remain unchanged.

"The fixed rates still tend to be high compared to the five-year bond market," he said. The upheaval caused by the credit crisis caused the difference between the key interest rate and fixed mortgage rates to increase, with the spread currently sitting at about 290 basis points compared with the historical average of 275 basis points.

"If the market's slowing down, there's going to be a bigger appetite by the banks to put out more money and that may be at a cheaper costs," Mr. Gaetano said. "If there's not enough sales out there, the banks are going to start pricing more aggressively."

This was written in the Financial Post Thank you for your real estate inquiry.

I can't believe that because the Bank of Canada did NOT reduce their interest rate, that lending rates will go up. Seems like a little gouging to me.

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS Newsletter
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

(
BUS 905-828-3434
2
FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
E-MAIL
: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

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Monday, June 16, 2008

RATES UP! Mortgage Interest Rate Update

As may already be aware, the Bank of Canada made no changes to their prime rate at their meeting on June 10th, contrary to the expected drop of 25 basis points.

There has been pressure on lenders to increase mortgage rates for the past couple of months, which they are now implementing today. Many of the key lenders have already announced their increases with others expected to follow throughout the course of the day.

The lowest current rate on a five year fixed is now 5.54% (up from 5.25 previously).

The variable rate remains unchanged at 4.15%. (0.60 below prime)

If you've been waiting for rates to bottom out, it may be time to get off the fence and make your purchase!

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS Newsletter
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

(
BUS 905-828-3434
2
FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
E-MAIL : mailto:mark@mississauga4sale.com?subject=Mississauga
Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

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Friday, June 13, 2008

Today's Posted and Best Mortgage Interest Rates

You will find the mortgage interest rates that are posted and attainable in the table below.
TermPosted
Rates
Best
Rates*
6 Month7.00%4.99%
1 Year6.95%4.74%
2 Year7.00%4.79%
3 Year7.00%4.89%
4 Year6.85%5.14%
5 Year7.00%5.15%
7 Year7.35%5.29%
10 Year7.75%5.79%
Variable Rate4.15%
Prime Rate4.75%
Rates are subject to change, some conditions & restrictions may apply.
If you would like more information, browse to:

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS Newsletter
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

(
BUS 905-828-3434
2
FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
E-MAIL : mailto:mark@mississauga4sale.com?subject=Mississauga
Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

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Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Bank of Canada keeps overnight rate target at 3 per cent

Bank of Canada keeps overnight rate target at 3 per cent

OTTAWA – The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 3 per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate is unchanged, and the Bank Rate remains at 3 1/4 per cent.

Since the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR), economic developments have been broadly in line with expectations. However, the balance of risks to the Bank's April projection for inflation in Canada has shifted slightly to the upside. Although the composition of U.S. growth has not been favourable for demand for Canadian goods and services, overall, global growth has been stronger and commodity prices have been sharply higher than expected. At the same time, many of the downside risks to inflation identified in the April MPR have eased, while the evolution of credit conditions has been in line with expectations. The risk remains that potential growth will be weaker than assumed.

With the decline in first-quarter GDP, the Canadian economy is judged to have moved into excess supply, which is expected to increase this year. Consistent with the April MPR, the Bank continues to project that economic growth will pick up this year and accelerate in 2009, owing in part to a firming of U.S. demand and accommodative monetary policy in Canada.

If current levels of energy prices persist, total CPI inflation will rise above 3 per cent later this year. However, with the Canadian economy operating in excess supply, core inflation is expected to remain below 2 per cent through 2009. Both total and core inflation should converge on 2 per cent in 2010 as the economy returns to balance.

Against this backdrop, the Bank now judges that the current stance of monetary policy is appropriately accommodative to bring aggregate demand and supply into balance and to achieve the 2 per cent inflation target. There continue to be important downside and upside risks to inflation in Canada, which the Bank will monitor closely.

See the current rates here: http://www.mississauga4sale.com/Rates-Current-Posted-Mortage-Interest-Rate.htm

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate


Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS Newsletter
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

(
BUS 905-828-3434
2
FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
E-MAIL : mailto:mark@mississauga4sale.com?subject=Mississauga
Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

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Sunday, June 08, 2008

2008 Mortgage Rates

2008 Mortgage Rates

With the Bank of Canada interest rate decision coming up next week, mortgage rates are a hot topic at the moment. The CMHC has just reported that posted mortgage rates eased by about 50 basis points in the first four months of 2008, although rates in late April were 30 to 35 basis points higher than they were 12 months prior. Mortgage rates are expected to trend marginally lower throughout 2008, but will be within 25-50 basis points of their current levels.

I came across a handy site that is useful to compare mortgage rates called http://www.ratesupermarket.ca/. They compare over 500 Canadian mortgage rates from banks to brokers and showed that best current 1 year closed fixed rate was 6.05%.

It will be interesting to see what the Bank of Canada does next week.

Cheers,

Mark

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Friday, June 06, 2008

Current Mortgage Interest Rates across the GTA

The table below shows you the current posted and rates offered by various mortgage brokers across the GTA

TERMPOSTED OUR RATES*
6 Month 6.20%